NHC: Conditions Conducive For Weekend Formation

Weekend conditions likely to bring rip currents to the coast


Miami, FL - A few weeks from the start of the 2020 Hurricane Season and the western Atlantic area is already looking at the possible formation of a new system.

The current outlook from the National Hurricane Center pointed out increasing cloudiness along with areas of numerous showers and thunderstorms over the Straits of Florida, the Atlantic Ocean and the Bahamas.

In addition to that, there is an area of high pressure ridging centered off the eastern seaboard and a stationary front that extends from east-northeast of the Bahamas to the Straits of Florida. Their observations also show that it is producing strong northeast to east winds reaching to near gale force.

With environmental conditions conducive for development, the NHC believes that this system is likely to become a tropical or subtropical depression or storm this weekend when it nears Bahamas.

 Forecasters expect the disturbance to move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic early next week. Regardless of its development, the system is expected to bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of southeastern Florida and the central and northwestern Bahamas over the next couple of days.

Presently, forecasts from the National Weather Service in Melbourne do not predict any kind of severe activity for the Volusia/Flagler County area of Central Florida. However, heavy rain and embedded storms will be possible throught tomorrow (May 15th) into Saturday along the Treasure coast. Minor flooding may become possible, especially in poor drainage and urbanized areas.

Graphical maps from the NWS show that the Daytona Beach area will most likely see its highest rain chance around 8 p.m. tomorrow, with a 34% chance of percipitation.

On the beaches, large breakers will produce a high risk of rip currents through the weekend, along with some beach erosion especially around the time of high tide. Anyone planning on visiting the beaches this weekend should swim near a life guard and expect some rougher surfs.


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